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Hidden Markov Models for Bioinformatics

Author(s): Koski, Timo
ISBN10: 1402001355
ISBN13: 9781402001352
Cover: Hardcover
 
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SummaryTable of Contents
The purpose of this book is to give a thorough and systematic introduction to probabilistic modeling in bioinformatics. The book contains a mathematically strict and extensive presentation of the kind of probabilistic models that have turned out to be useful in genome analysis. Questions of parametric inference, selection between model families, and various architectures are treated. Several examples are given of known architectures (e.g., profile HMM) used in genome analysis. Audience: This book will be of interest to advanced undergraduate and graduate students with a fairly limited background in probability theory, but otherwise well trained in mathematics and already familiar with at least some of the techniques of algorithmic sequence analysis.

Gives a thorough and systematic introduction to probabilistic bioinformatics. Of interest to advanced undergraduate and graduate students limited background in probability theory, but otherwise well trained in mathematics.

Hidden Markov Models for Bioinformatics
Foreword xv
Prerequisites in probability calculus
1(28)
Background
1(1)
Formulae and Definitions
1(11)
Alphabet, Sequence
1(2)
Random Variables and their Distributions
3(2)
Joint Probability Distributions
5(1)
Conditional Probability Distributions
6(1)
A Chain Rule
6(1)
Independence
7(1)
Conditional Independence
7(1)
Probability Models with Independence
7(1)
Multinomial Probability Distribution
8(2)
A Weight Matrix Model for a Family of Sequences
10(1)
Simplifying Notations
11(1)
Learning and Bayes' Rule
12(1)
Bayes' Rule
12(1)
A Missing Information Principle and Inference
13(1)
Some Distributions for DNA Analysis
13(2)
Fragment Accuracy
13(1)
The Distribution of the Number of Fragments
14(1)
Expectation
15(1)
Jensen's Inequality
16(1)
Conditional Expectation
17(1)
Law of Large Numbers
18(2)
Exercises
20(6)
References and Further Reading:
26(3)
Information and the Kullback Distance
29(22)
Introduction
29(1)
Mutual Information
30(1)
Properties of Mutual Information
31(2)
Entropy
31(1)
Some Further Formulas
32(1)
Shannon's Source Coding Theorems
33(3)
AEP
33(1)
The Source Coding Theorem
34(1)
Lossless Compression Codes and Entropy
35(1)
Kullback Distance
36(4)
Definition and Examples
36(2)
Calibration
38(1)
Properties
38(2)
The Score and the Fisher Information
40(2)
Exercises on Mutual Information and Codelengths
42(3)
Kullback Distance and Fisher Information
45(4)
References and Further Reading:
49(2)
Probabilistic Models and Learning
51(32)
Introduction
51(1)
Bayesian probability
52(3)
Chance and Probability
52(2)
Coherence
54(1)
Models with Conditional Independence
55(10)
Modelling and Learning for Tosses of a Thumb tack
55(3)
Learning of the Multinomial Process
58(6)
General Summary
64(1)
Comparison of Model Families
65(1)
Bayes Factor
65(1)
Inductive Learning, Updates
65(1)
Some Asymptotics for Evidence
66(3)
Evidence and Bayesian Codelengths
69(3)
Exercises
72(4)
Appendix: Dirichlet Densities
76(2)
Euler's Gamma
76(1)
The Dirichlet density
77(1)
The Beta Density
78(1)
References and Further Reading:
78(5)
EM Algorithm
83(22)
Finite Mixtures of Distributions
83(3)
Introduction
83(1)
Mixtures
84(1)
Likelihood and Missing Information
85(1)
An Expectation Maximization Algorithm
86(3)
Quasi-log Likelihood
86(1)
Step E and Step M
87(1)
An Explicit Form of Step M
88(1)
Exponential Type of Family of Distributions
89(3)
Definitions and Notations:
89(1)
EM for Exponential Type of Family of Distributions
90(2)
Summary of EM for Exponential Type of Families
92(1)
Iterations and Convergence
92(1)
A Model for Fragments with Motifs
93(3)
Pattern in a Fragment
93(1)
Modelling
93(2)
Generating Sequences with a Motif
95(1)
Learning the Model for One Motif
96(1)
Exercises
96(6)
References and Further Reading:
102(3)
Alignment and Scoring
105(20)
Summary and Overview
105(1)
Background
105(1)
Pairwise Alignments
106(2)
Definitions
106(1)
More Terminology: Gaps
107(1)
An Evolutionary Distance
108(3)
Metric Spaces
108(1)
Auxiliary Terminology
109(1)
The Sequence Metric and the Evolutionary Distance
110(1)
Dynamic Programming
111(5)
The Recurrence Relation
111(2)
Tabular Computation
113(2)
The Traceback: Optimal Alignment
115(1)
Global Similarity Alignment, Gap Penalities
116(3)
Exercises
119(1)
Appendix: On the Evolutionary Distance
120(3)
The Metric Property
120(2)
Edge Lengths of a Tree and the Related Metrics
122(1)
References and Further Reading:
123(2)
Mixture Models and Profiles
125(26)
Summary and Overview
125(3)
Prior Information for a Weight Matrix
125(1)
Family and Superfamily Representations
126(1)
Multiple Alignment and Priors of Mixtures of Dirichlet Densities
127(1)
On a General Theory of Mixtures of Dirichlet Densities
127(1)
A Finite Mixture of Prior Dirichlets
128(6)
Multiple Alignment and Prior Information
128(2)
A Likelihood Function for the Frequency Counts
130(2)
The Mixture Estimation Algorithm
132(2)
Estimates of the Symbol Probability Distributions
134(1)
Aligning a Sequence to a Profile
135(1)
Profile
135(3)
Optimal Fit of a String to a Profile
136(2)
Exercises
138(3)
Appendix A: Dirichlet Mixtures
141(1)
Definition of Dirichlet Mixtures
141(1)
Appendix B: The Predictive Multinomial Mixture
142(3)
The Predictive Multinomial Process
142(1)
The Predictive Mixture
143(1)
The Posterior Mixture Density
144(1)
Mean Posterior Probability of Symbols
144(1)
Appendix C: The Lemmas for Mixture Estimation
145(3)
References and Further Reading:
148(3)
Markov Chains
151(24)
Introduction
151(6)
Contents
151(1)
Definitions and Notations
151(1)
Examples
152(3)
Markov Chains of kth Order
155(1)
Joint Probability Distribution of an MC
156(1)
Chapman--Kolmogorov Equations
157(2)
Stationarity and Invariant Distributions
159(2)
Ergodic Markov Chains
161(7)
Definition and Properties
161(1)
A Sufficient Condition for Ergodicity
162(5)
Classification of the State Space
167(1)
Exercises
168(5)
On the Markov Property and the Invariant Distribution
168(2)
Stationary Markov Processes
170(1)
Entropy Rate of a Stationary Markov Chain
170(1)
High-order Markov Chains
171(2)
References and Further Reading:
173(2)
Learning of Markov Chains
175(16)
Background
175(1)
General Summary
175(1)
ML for Markov Chains
176(3)
Preliminaries
176(1)
ML of the Transition Matrix
177(1)
An Example of Full Likelihood
178(1)
The Whittle Distribution
179(2)
Model Averaging
181(2)
Posterior Distributions for Rows in the Transition Matrix
181(1)
Predictive Probability
181(2)
MC Order Comparison Using the Bayes Ratio
183(1)
Consistency of the ML
184(2)
Exercises
186(3)
References and Further Reading:
189(2)
Markovian Models for DNA sequences
191(20)
DNA and Modelling
191(2)
Markov Chains for DNA sequences
193(2)
Frame Dependent Markov Chains
195(2)
MTD and Interpolated Markov Models
197(1)
Probability Computations for Words
198(6)
First Occurrence of a Word
199(3)
Conditional Expected Frequency of a Word
202(2)
Exercises
204(3)
References and Further Reading:
207(4)
Hidden Markov Models: an Overview
211(20)
Introduction
211(1)
The HMM
211(1)
The Thumb Tack Again
212(1)
Standard HMM
212(4)
Definition and notations
212(4)
Generative Modelling of Sequences
216(1)
Examples and Applications
216(3)
Influence Diagrams, Nonstandard HMM
219(5)
A Fourth Problem
224(1)
Finite State Stochastic Machines
224(2)
Notations and Terminology
224(1)
Carlyle's Matrix Formula
225(1)
Exercises
226(3)
References and Further Reading:
229(2)
HMM for DNA Sequences
231(14)
Introduction
231(1)
Heterogeneity and Segmentation of Natural DNA sequences
232(1)
Gene Finding and HMM
233(4)
Radiation Hybrid Mapping
237(2)
Exercises
239(2)
References and Further Reading:
241(4)
Left to Right HMM for Sequences
245(26)
Introduction
245(1)
Contents
245(1)
Left to Right HMM
246(1)
Motif-Based Hidden Markov Models
246(5)
The Approximate Common Substring Problem
246(3)
Profile HMM
249(2)
Plan 7 in HMMER
251(1)
Multiple Alignment by profile HMM
251(2)
Scoring with HMM
253(2)
HMM Alignment to a Profile
253(1)
Log Odds Score
253(1)
A Null Model for Scoring
254(1)
Fragment Lengths
255(7)
Transience
255(2)
The Probability Distribution for the Length of Generated Sequence
257(2)
Expected Length of a Generated Sequence
259(2)
Quasi stationarity?
261(1)
Exercises
262(5)
ACS
262(1)
Duration of Stay and Absorption
262(2)
A Project on the Yaglom Limit
264(2)
Expected length
266(1)
References and Further Reading:
267(4)
Derin's Algorithm
271(22)
Introduction
271(1)
Derin's Formula
272(1)
Various Sufficiency Properties
273(4)
Lumping of Markov Chains
277(2)
Factorizations
279(6)
Final Time Sufficiency
285(1)
Proof of Derin's Backwards Recursion
286(2)
Exercises:
288(3)
References and Further Reading:
291(2)
Forward--Backward Algorithm
293(24)
Introduction
293(1)
Forward--Backward Algorithm and Evaluation
294(5)
An Outline
294(1)
Forward Recursion
295(2)
Backward Recursion
297(1)
The Scoring (Evaluation) Problem
298(1)
Recursions for Posterior Probabilities
299(5)
Filtering, Smoothing, Prediction
299(2)
Scaled Recursions
301(2)
Implementation
303(1)
The Alignment Problem and the Viterbi Algorithm
304(5)
Formulation
304(1)
The Bellman Optimality Principle
305(2)
Dynamic Programming for the Alignment (Decoding) Problem
307(1)
Viterbi Learning
308(1)
Exercises
309(6)
References and Further Reading:
315(2)
Baum--Welch Learning Algorithm
317(28)
The Learning Problem
317(2)
Statement of the Learning Problem
317(1)
Plan for the Study of the Learning Problem
318(1)
The Quasi-log likelihood for HMM
319(6)
A Lower Bound for the Log Likelihood Ratio
319(2)
Expressions for the Quasi-log likelihood Function
321(2)
Maximization of the Quasi-log likelihood Function
323(1)
An Intermediate Summary of Re-estimation
324(1)
Forward and Backward Probabilities
325(8)
Smoothing Probabilities
326(5)
Re-estimates in Forward and Backward Variables
331(2)
Baum--Welch Learning for MAP
333(3)
Prior Density
333(1)
MAP re-estimates
334(2)
Exercises
336(7)
References and Further Reading:
343(2)
Limit Points of Baum--Welch
345(22)
Introduction
345(2)
A Summary of Re-estimates
345(1)
Plan for the Further Study
346(1)
The Theorem on Limit Points of Re-estimates
347(1)
On the Stationary Points of the Likelihood
347(6)
A Formal Optimization Calculus
347(1)
Some Computational Details
348(4)
Re-estimation Formulas Rediscovered
352(1)
The Growth Transformation
353(5)
Introduction
353(1)
Polynomials Homogeneous in Degree n
354(1)
Baum--Eagon Inequality
355(3)
Baum--Welch Learning and Maximum Likelihood
358(2)
The Global Convergence Theorem
360(1)
Zangwill's Theory of Algorithms
360(1)
Exercises
361(3)
Appendix: Results in Mathematical Analysis
364(1)
Geometric Mean--Arithmetic Mean Inequality
364(1)
Holder's inequality
365(1)
Euler's Theorem on Homogeneous Functions
365(1)
References and Further Reading:
365(2)
Asymptotics of Learning
367(18)
Introduction
367(1)
Additional Assumptions
368(2)
Steps of the Proof: An Outline
370(1)
Some Auxiliary Statements
371(8)
The Consistency Result
379(3)
Exercises
382(1)
References and Further Reading:
383(2)
Full Probabilistic HMM
385(4)
Introduction
385(1)
Revision of Local Alignment
385(1)
Probability Defined by Alignment
386(1)
Scoring
387(1)
References and Further Reading:
388(1)
Index 389

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