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Co-Trending: A Statistical System Analysis of Economic Trends

Author(s): Hatanaka, Michio; Yamada, H.
ISBN10: 443140158X
ISBN13: 9784431401582
Cover: Hardcover
 
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Table of Contents
Preface v
Introduction
1(7)
Motivation and Results of the Research
1(4)
Review of the Literature
5(1)
Exploration of Different Approaches
6(1)
Notations
7(1)
Co-trending
8(8)
Co-trending in the Non-parametric Approach
9(1)
Co-trending in the Parametric Approach
10(3)
Trend Functions
13(1)
Co-trending and Co-breaking
13(1)
A Survey on the Direct and the Indirect Modelling of Trend
14(2)
Statistics from the Data Covariance Matrix
16(9)
Three-way Decomposition of the n-Dimensional Space
17(1)
Group
18(1)
Group 2
19(2)
Group 1
21(2)
An Approximation of P(X)
23(1)
Plan for the Rest of the Book
23(2)
Principal Components
25(3)
Group , i = 1,...,n - r
26(1)
Group 2, i = n -- r + 1,...,n -- r1, r2 > 0
27(1)
Group 1, i = n -- r1 + 1,...,n, r1 > 0
27(1)
Unit Root Tests
28(11)
Univariate Unit Root Test
29(2)
Group : The Case Where B η ,i is not a Cointegration Vector
31(1)
Group : The Case Where B η ,i is a Cointegration Vector
31(1)
Group 2: The Case Where r2 = 1, and Group 1
32(1)
Multivariate Unit Root Test
33(2)
Group 2: The Case Where r2 ≥ 2
35(1)
Mistaken Constituents of Groups
35(2)
Supplement on the Martingale Covariance
37(2)
Trend Tests
39(16)
Discrimination Between Group 1 and Group with B η ,i as a Cointegration Vector
40(1)
Failure of the Standard Trend Tests in Discriminating Groups and 2
40(1)
Test Statistic and Limit Distribution for the Discrimination Between Group 2 and Group with B η ,i not in the Cointegrating Space
41(2)
Reduced Rank Regression of X on S H
43(1)
A Finite Sample Analysis of the Reduced Rank Regression
44(3)
Asymptotic Analyses of the Reduced Rank Regression
47(2)
Data-Dependent Critical Value
49(2)
Mistaken Constituents of the Groups and 2
51(4)
Sequential Decision Rule
55(9)
Grouping Method
55(2)
Sequential Decision Rule
57(1)
Tests of a Grouping Method
57(2)
Justification of the Sequential Decision Rule
59(2)
Supplement
61(3)
Simulation Studies
64(13)
DGP
64(3)
Details of the Trend Test for I(O)
67(1)
A Table of Asymptotic Probabilities
67(5)
Results of Simulation Studies
72(3)
Empirical Example
75(2)
A Mathematical Proofs
77(21)
Mathematical Proofs of Propositions and Lemmas in Chapter 2
77(1)
Mathematical Proofs of Propositions and Lemmas in Chapter 3
77(5)
Mathematical Proofs of Propositions and Lemmas in Chapter 4
82(1)
Mathematical Proofs of Propositions and Lemmas in Chapter 5
83(9)
Mathematical Proofs of Propositions and Lemmas in Chapter 6
92(6)
B OLS Inference on the Matrix B
98(7)
The Case Where r2 > 0
99(2)
The Case Where r2 = 0
101(1)
Estimation of the VAR, (B.3)
102(1)
Estimation of C(1), Λ, and C*(1)
103(1)
Estimation of G*G'*
104(1)
C Determination of the Co-breaking Rank
105(6)
The Number of Common Breaks
105(1)
Detrended Covariance Matrix
106(1)
UURT
107(1)
MURT
108(1)
TRT
109(2)
Notes 111(3)
References 114

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