Central Asia: A Gathering Storm?

The societies of Central Asia are besieged from within and without. The political elites -- virtually unchanged despite the transition to independent statehood -- battle radical Islamic movements and other oppositional threats that are continuously fueled by economic instability, corruption, environmental deterioration, and the collapse of social services. The heightened U.S. presence in the area, in connection with the military action in Afghanistan, is likely to unsettle the situation further, even while bolstering the incumbent regime.

This survey of political, economic, and social developments in Central Asia offers geopolitical context, unparalleled coverage, and analytical depth to our understanding of a region that can no longer be safely ignored.

List of Tables

vii

Preface

ix

Acknowledgments

xiii

Map

2

(1)

Part I: Overview

The Search for Stability in Central Asia

3

(66)

Boris Rumer

Part II: Security

The Conflict in Afghanistan: Conditions, Problems, and Prospects

69

(45)

Sultan Akimbekov

Regional Security in Central Asia: Military Aspects

114

(55)

Rustam Burnashev

Part III: Foreign Policy Framework

Central Asia Between the Gravitational Poles of Russia and China

169

(39)

Konstantin Syroezhkin

Central Asia and the European Union

208

(37)

Murat Laumulin

Part IV: Islam and Politics

The Central Asian Nexus: Islam and Politics

245

(54)

Evgeniy Abdullaev

Islam in Uzbekistan: From the Struggle for ``Religious Purity'' to Political Activism

299

(34)

Bakhtiar Babadzhanov

Part V: Economics

Central Asia: Development Under Conditions of Globalization

333

(43)

Stanislav Zhukov

Challenges to Economic Policy in Central Asia: Is a Miracle Possible?

376

(53)

Eshref Trushin

Eskender Trushin

Index

429

(13)

About the Editor and Contributors

442

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Central Asia: A Gathering Storm?

Summary

Table of Contents

Supplemental Materials