Latin American Economic Crises Trade and

This volume examines issues of economic interest faced by Latin America economies in the late 20th Century. The fifteen chapters deal with macroeconomic problems, financial crises, the development of trade and trade agreements and labor issues. Of particular interest are the chapters dealing with Argentina, which provide an absorbing background to the financial crisis faced today.

Enrique Bour is Professor of Economics, University of Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Daniel Heymann is Professor of Economics, Univeristy of Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Fernando Navajas is Professor of Economics, University of La Plata, Argentina.

The International Economic Association

vii

Preface and Acknowledgements by Jacques Dreze

ix

List of Contributors

xi

Abbreviations and Acronyms

xiii

Introduction by Enrique Bour, Daniel Heymann and Fernando Navajas

xv

Part I Macroeconomic Crises

1 A Comparison of Currency Crises between Asia and Latin America

3

(21)

Koichi Hamada

2 Latin America and the External Crisis of the Second Half of the 1990's

24

(16)

Vittorio Corbo

3 Banking Crises in Latin America in the 1990's: Lessons from Argentina, Paraguay and Venezuela

40

(18)

Alicia Garcia-Herrero

4 On the Causes of the Latin American and Asian Currency Crises of the 1990's

58

(23)

Marcel Fratzscher

5 Contagion in Emerging Markets: When Wall Street Is a Carrier

81

(14)

Guillermo A. Calvo

Part II Trade and Trade Agreements

6 Preferential Trade Agreements at the Turn of the Century

95

(20)

T.N. Srinivasan

7 The Role of Sub-regional Agreements In Latin American Economic Integration

115

(10)

Victor Urquidi

8 International Specialization and Trade Regimes in Argentina 1960-99

125

(24)

Luis Miotti, Carlos Quenon and Carlos Winograd

9 Testing the Short- and Long-run Exchange-Rate Effects on the Trade Balance: The Case of Colombia

149

(18)

Hernan Rincon

10 External Shocks, Relative Prices and Sectoral Reallocation in a Small Open Economy: Evidence from Mexico

167

(20)

Talan Iscan

11 Exchange-Rate Movements and the Export of Brazilian Manufactures

187

(14)

Alfonso Ferreira and Andreu Sanso

Part III Labour and Income Distribution

12 The Impact of Firing Costs on Turnover and Unemployment: Evidence from Colombia

201

(21)

Adriana D. Kugler

13 Structural Reform and the Distribution Effects of Price Changes in Argentina 1988-98

222

(25)

Fernando H. Navajas

14 Endogenous Child Mortality, the Price of Child-specific Goods and Fertility Decisions: Evidence from Argentina

247

(11)

Alessandro Cigno and Graciela Pinal

15 Child Labour In Peru: An Empirical Analysis and Its Modelling Implications

258

Ranjan Ray

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Latin American Economic Crises Trade and Labour

Summary

Author Biography

Table of Contents

Supplemental Materials