The Logic of Chance

No mathematical background is necessary to appreciate this classic of probability theory. Written by the logician who popularized the famous Venn Diagrams, it remains unsurpassed in its clarity, readability, and charm. The treatment commences with an overview of physical foundations, examines logical superstructure, and explores various applications. 1888 edition.

Part I. Physical Foundations of the Science of Probability
I. The Series of Probability
II. Arrangement and Formation of the Series. Laws of Error.
III. Origin or Process of Causation of the Series
IV. How to Discover and Prove the Series
V. The Conception of Randomness
Part II. Logical Superstructure on the Above Physical Foundations
VI. Measurement of Belief
VII. The Rules of Inference in Probability
VIII. The Rule of Succession
IX. Induction
X. Chance, Causation, and Design
XI. Material and Formal Logic
XII. Consequences of the Distinctions of the Previous Chapter
XIII. On Modality
XIV. Fallacies
Part III. Various Applications of the Theory of Probability
XV. Insurance and Gambling
XVI. Application of Probability to Testimony
XVII. Credibility of Extraordinary Stories
XVIII. On the Nature and Use of an Average, and on the Different Kinds of Average
XIX. The Theory of the Average as a Means of Approximation to the Truth