The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers

About national and international power in the "modern" or Post Renaissance period. Explains how the various powers have risen and fallen over the 5 centuries since the formation of the "new monarchies" in W. Europe.

Paul Kennedy is the author or editor of thirteen books, including Preparing for the Twenty-first Century and The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers, which has been translated into more than twenty languages. He serves on the editorial board of numerous scholarly journals and has written for The New York Times, Los Angeles Times, The Atlantic Monthly, and several other publications. Educated at Newcastle University and Oxford University, he is a former fellow of the Institute for Advanced Studies at Princeton University and of the Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung in Bonn.

Acknowledgments

vii

Maps

xi

Tables and Charts

xiii

Introduction

xv

STRATEGY AND ECONOMICS IN THE PREINDUSTRIAL WORLD

The Rise of the Western World

3

(28)

Ming China

4

(5)

The Muslim World

9

(5)

Two Outsiders---Japan and Russia

14

(2)

The ``European Miracle''

16

(15)

The Habsburg Bid for Mastery, 1519--1659

31

(42)

The Meaning and Chronology of the Struggle

32

(9)

Strengths and Weaknesses of the Habsburg Bloc

41

(14)

International Comparisons

55

(15)

War, Money, and the Nation-State

70

(3)

Finance, Geography, and the Winning of Wars, 1660--1815

73

(70)

The ``Financial Revolution''

76

(10)

Geopolitics

86

(14)

The Winning of Wars, 1660--1763

100

(15)

The Winning of Wars, 1763--1815

115

(28)

STRATEGY AND ECONOMICS IN THE INDUSTRIAL ERA

Industrialization and the Shifting Global Balances, 1815--1885

143

(51)

The Eclipse of the Non-European World

147

(4)

Britain as Hegemon?

151

(7)

The ``Middle Powers''

158

(12)

The Crimean War and the Erosion of Russian Power

170

(8)

The United States and the Civil War

178

(4)

The Wars of German Unification

182

(9)

Conclusions

191

(3)

The Coming of a Bipolar World and the Crisis of the ``Middle Powers'': Part One, 1885--1918

194

(81)

The Shifting Balance of World Forces

198

(4)

The Position of the Powers, 1885--1914

202

(47)

Alliances and the Drift to War, 1890--1914

249

(7)

Total War and the Power Balances, 1914--1918

256

(19)

The Coming of a Bipolar World and the Crisis of the ``Middle Power'': Part Two, 1919--1942

275

(72)

The Postwar International Order

275

(16)

The Challengers

291

(29)

The Offstage Superpowers

320

(13)

The Unfolding Crisis, 1931--1942

333

(14)

STRATEGY AND ECONOMICS TODAY AND TOMORROW

Stability and Change in a Bipolar World, 1943--1980

347

(91)

``The Proper Application of Overwhelming Force''

347

(10)

The New Strategic Landscape

357

(16)

The Cold War and the Third World

373

(22)

The Fissuring of the Bipolar World

395

(18)

The Changing Economic Balances, 1950 to 1980

413

(25)

To the Twenty-first Century

438

(98)

History and Speculation

438

(9)

China's Balancing Act

447

(11)

The Japanese Dilemma

458

(13)

The EEC---Potential and Problems

471

(17)

The Soviet Union and Its ``Contradictions''

488

(26)

The United States: The Problem of Number One in Relative Decline

514

(22)

Epilogue

536

(5)

Notes

541

(84)

Bibliography

625

(38)

Index

663

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The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers Economic Change and Military Conflict from 1500 to 2000

Summary

Author Biography

Table of Contents

Supplemental Materials