Seasonal Stock Market Trends The Definitive

There is a seasonal bias to the stock market, and by paying attention to the seasonal market tendencies you can gain an edge in the stock market over the long haul. Seasonality offers a practical approach to investing and trading. What better way to learn how to employ seasonal systems than learning from Jay Kaeppel, a master in the analysis of seasonal trends? Kaeppel walks you through this phenomenon that continues to work consistently, providing you with his ultimate seasonal index to make the calendar work for you. Stock Market Seasonals provides a never-before-seen definitive guide that illustrates how to utilize a combination of four basic seasonal tendencies in order to maximize returns.

Jay Kaeppel is a successful trading strategist for Optionetics, Inc., and is actively involved in developing new trading-related products. He pens a weekly column titled "Kaeppel's Corner," in which he writes on a variety of trading topics for www.Optionetics.com. A former Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA), Kaeppel has over twenty years of trading, writing, system development, and programming experience, and is the author of The Four Biggest Mistakes in Futures Trading, The Four Biggest Mistakes in Option Trading, and The Option Trader's Guide to Probability, Volatility, and Timing (Wiley). He has also developed a variety of award-winning futures and options software programs and published dozens of articles in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities and Active Trader magazines. For more information on Jay and his works, visit www.seasonaltrades.com.

Preface	p. xi
Introduction to Seasonality in the Stock Market	p. 1
The Concept of Seasons and Seasonality	p. 2
What Is Seasonality?	p. 5
The Pioneers of Stock Market Seasonality	p. 7
Measuring Market Performance throughout This Book	p. 9
How to Trade the Dow	p. 11
Seasonal Trends to Consider	p. 14
Summing Up	p. 18
The Month of January	p. 21
The First Five Days of January	p. 22
The Last Five Days of January	p. 25
The January Barometer	p. 27
The January Barometer as a Stand-Alone System	p. 29
The JayNewary Barometer	p. 31
The Ultimate January Barometer System	p. 38
The Effect of Compounding	p. 42
A Few Words of Warning	p. 46
Summing Up	p. 47
Holiday Seasonal Trends	p. 49
The Holidays	p. 50
The Trading Day before Each Holiday	p. 51
Two Days before Each Holiday	p. 52
Three Days before and after Each Holiday	p. 54
The Best Holiday Trading Days	p. 56
The Ultimate Holiday System	p. 61
The Most Wonderful Week of the Year (Usually)	p. 63
Summing Up	p. 65
Monthly Seasonal Trends	p. 67
The Best Day of the Month	p. 68
The Trading Days of the Month	p. 71
The Worst Trading Days of the Month	p. 80
The Best Trading Days of the Month (Part 1)	p. 81
The Best Trading Days of the Month (Part 2): The Month-End/New-Month Pattern	p. 83
The Most Wonderful Time of the Year	p. 89
Monthly 10 Combined with the Santa Claus Rally	p. 91
The Ultimate Monthly Days System	p. 93
One Last Tweak	p. 96
Summing Up	p. 100
Yearly Seasonal Trends	p. 103
Decennial Patterns (Part 1: Ranking the Years)	p. 104
Decennial Patterns (Part 2: The Best and Worst Years)	p. 106
Decennial Patterns (Part 3: The Decennial Road Map)	p. 110
Decennial Tendencies	p. 111
Decade-by-Decade Performance	p. 112
Intradecade Trends of Note	p. 123
Intradecade Cycles Combined	p. 130
Summing Up	p. 136
Repetitive Time Cycles of Note	p. 139
The 212-Week Cycle	p. 140
The 40-Week Cycle	p. 146
The 53-Day Cycle	p. 153
Combining Cycles	p. 163
The Ultimate Time Cycles Model	p. 168
Summing Up	p. 172
Election Cycle Investing	p. 173
The Election Cycle: By the Years	p. 175
The Election Cycle: By the Months	p. 187
Two Other Patterns in the Election Cycle	p. 205
The Ultimate Election Cycle System	p. 210
Summing Up	p. 214
Sell in May and Go Away	p. 219
November to May	p. 220
What Is MACD?	p. 225
Using MACD as a Filter	p. 227
October through June for the Nasdaq	p. 238
The Dead Zones	p. 246
The Easiest Market-Beating Strategy in the World	p. 260
October of Year 7	p. 261
Summing Up	p. 264
Putting It All Together	p. 267
Building Seasonal Trading Models	p. 268
Building the KTI	p. 271
Comparing Extreme KTI Readings	p. 273
Model 1: The Long-Only Method	p. 276
Model 2: The Long-Only Plus Leverage (LOPL) Method	p. 278
Model 3: Jay's Ultimate Seasonal Barometer	p. 281
Summing Up	p. 284
Index	p. 291
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

What is included with this book?

The New copy of this book will include any supplemental materials advertised. Please check the title of the book to determine if it should include any access cards, study guides, lab manuals, CDs, etc.

The Used, Rental and eBook copies of this book are not guaranteed to include any supplemental materials. Typically, only the book itself is included. This is true even if the title states it includes any access cards, study guides, lab manuals, CDs, etc.

FREE SHIPPING

Amazon no longer offers textbook rentals. We do!

Seasonal Stock Market Trends The Definitive Guide to Calendar-Based Stock Market Trading

Summary

Author Biography

Table of Contents

Supplemental Materials