Volatile States in International Politics

An in-depth account of why countries' treacherous foreign policies often have harmless origins, how this predicament shapes international politics, and what to do about it.

The increasing unpredictability of state behavior in recent world politics is a surprising development. The uncertainty that results intensifies conflict and stymies trust. In Volatile States in International Politics, Eleonora Mattiacci offers the first account of this issue that investigates which states have been volatile and why. Leveraging statistical techniques and archival data in a probing analysis of rivals and allies since the end of World War II, she rejects attempts at dismissing volatility as reflecting mercurial leaders or intractable issues. Instead, Mattiacci explains that a state acts in a volatile manner when its clashing domestic interests leverage power to achieve their goals on the international arena. In demonstrating states' potential for volatile behaviors, she asks us to reconsider how much we really know about change and instability in international politics. When properly understood, she shows, volatile behavior can become less confusing for observers and potentially less dangerous. This book offers novel, evidence-based tools to cope with volatility in the global arena.

Eleonora Mattiacci is Assistant Professor of Political Science at Amherst College, where she founded the IR Lab. She researches and publishes on international politics and focuses on the ways in which time and power shape actors' options on the international arena, particularly in the domain of conflict. Her research has been published on Perspective on Politics, International Studies Quarterly, and British Journal of International Politics, among other outlets. She holds a PhD from The Ohio State University.

Acknowledgments
Contents
List of Figures
Chapter 1: Introduction
Chapter 2: Theory: When Does Volatility Increase?
Chapter 3: Measuring Volatility
Chapter 4: Volatility and Rivals
Chapter 5: Volatility and Allies
Chapter 6: Conclusions
Chapter 7: Appendix
Notes
Bibliography
Index