When Leaders Learn and When They Don't : Mikhail Gorbachev and Kim II Sung at the End of the Cold War

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Summary

Develops a new and Dynamic theory of foreign policy decision making and experimental learning.

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List of Tables and Figures	p. vii
Acknowledgments	p. ix
The Argument
Political Leadership and the Puzzle of Foreign Policy Change and Continuity	p. 3
Mikhail Gorbachev and Kim Il Sung
The Decision-Making Approach
Beliefs and Strategic Interaction
Outline of the Book
A Theory of Foreign Policy Decisions	p. 25
The Theory of Moves (TOM)
Preferences Need Inferences
Making Beliefs and Learning Patterns Visible
The Theory of Inferences about Preferences (TIP)
The Subjective Games of Gorbachev's Predecessors (1980-1985)
The Cases
Gorbachev: Uncommitte Thinker and Motivated Learner	p. 47
The Early Gorbachev Era (1985-1986)
The Second Year of the Gorbachev Era (February 1986-January 1987)
Gorbachev: Committe Teacher and Reformer	p. 65
Gorbachev Induces U.S. Cooperation (1987-1988)
Gorbachev Transforms Great Power Politics (1989-1991)
Kim il Sung: Revolutionary Cold Warrior	p. 85
Deadlock in the Cold War (1980-1983)
The Deadlock Continues (1984-1986)
Kim Il Sung: Touched by the Winds of Change?	p. 107
The Catalytic Period (1987-1990)
The Post-Cold War Period (1991-1994)
The Implications
Lessons from the Past and Applications to the Future	p. 131
Main Findings
Theoretical Significance
The Continued Relevance of Gorbachev and Kim Il Sung
Notes	p. 145
Bibliography	p. 167
Index	p. 189
Series List	p. 191
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