The Baltic Transformed Complexity Theory and

Why isn't the Baltic region like the Balkans? Why have the Baltic republics not experienced ethnic cleansing, border wars, authoritarian rule, and social chaos? Instead, peace, democracy, and market economies have taken root since the fall of communism. W

Walter C. Clemens, Jr., is professor of political science, Boston University, and an associate at Harvard University's Davis Center for Russian Studies and Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs.

List of Abbreviations

vi

List of Tables

vii

Empire, Self-Rule, and Interdependence in the Baltic Region: A Chronology

viii

Foreword

xviii

Ambassador Jack F. Matlock Jr.

Preface: Why the Baltic?

xxii

Acknowledgments

xxvii

Coping with Complexity: Alternative Explanations

1

(20)

Self-Organization versus Autocracy: Crusaders to Commissars

21

(18)

Nonviolent Revolution: How Three Davids Undermined Goliath

39

(16)

Creating Good Government: Who Won What When?

55

(18)

Self-Organization and Social Capital

73

(18)

Human Development: Winners, Losers, and the Internet

91

(22)

Integration: Coping with Ethnic Complexity

113

(22)

Energy for a New Life: From Dependency to Interdependence

135

(20)

Tigers on the Baltic: Can the Small Be Fit?

155

(24)

Russia: Threat or Partner?

179

(22)

Enhancing Baltic Security: NATO and Other Options, 2000-2010

201

(26)

Baltic Fitness, European Security, and International Relations: What Does Complexity Theory Explain?

227

(22)

Selected References

249

(14)

Index

263

(18)

About the Author

281

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The Baltic Transformed Complexity Theory and European Security

Summary

Author Biography

Table of Contents

Supplemental Materials

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The Baltic Transformed Complexity Theory and European Security

Summary

Author Biography

Table of Contents

Supplemental Materials

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