George M. Guess has been a senior public administration specialist at Development Alternatives, Inc. (DAI) in Bethesda, Maryland, since 1994.
Preface
p. vii
Author Biographies
p. ix
Overview
p. 1
Problem Identification and Structuring
p. 21
Fighting Crime: The Case for Emptier Prisons
p. 49
Forecasting Institutional Impacts on Public Policy Performance
p. 67
Washington Post Articles
p. 101
Forecasting Policy Options
p. 135
MARTA Forecast
p. 171
Pricing and Public Policy: The Case of Cigarette Taxes
p. 211
Anti-Tobacco Groups Push for Higher Cigarette Taxes
p. 225
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis: The Case of Mother-to-Infant HIV Transmission
p. 249
Preventing Perinatal Transmission of HIV
p. 272
Cost-Benefit Analysis: The Case of Environmental Air Quality Standards
p. 303
Clinton Sharply Tightens Air Pollution Regulations Despite Concern Over Costs
p. 318
Summary and Conclusions
p. 335
Glossary
p. 349
Index
p. 357
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