Forecasting Mexico's Democratic Transition Scenarios for Policymakers

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Introduction
U.S.-Mexico Gaming Exercise: Final Report and Evaluation	p. 1
Shock Therapy for Accelerated Reform in Mexico: A Pact-Based Transition as a Best-Case Scenario for 1999-2001	p. 19
Mexico in 2001: A Middle-Road Scenario	p. 34
Thinking about the Unthinkable in Mexico	p. 49
Beyond the Pale: The Bureaucratic Politics of U.S. Policy in Mexico	p. 68
Afterword	p. 94
Scenario 1: Disputed Victory by PRI Candidate	p. 96
Scenario 2: Disputed Opposition Victory: Vicente Fox (PAN)	p. 104
Inventory of U.S. Agencies and Programs in Mexico, FY 1999	p. 112
About the Authors	p. 119
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