Global Mapping of Infectious Diseases

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ISBN: 9780120317646 | 0120317648
Cover: Paperback
Copyright: 3/23/2007

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Global Mapping of Infectious Diseases provides researchers with an opportunity to become familiar with modern techniques, approaches and data available for the global mapping of infectious diseases and the human populations they affect. This is done through reviews of available data and current modelling methods, which are applied in the book to dengue, yellow fever, malaria and geo-helminths. Some of the exciting research facilitated by global scale studies of infectious diseases is also reviewed, including the effects of phylogeny, transport networks and climate change on the past, present and future distribution of infectious diseases. An international team of leading specialists in the field gives a comprehensive overview of the practical procedures involved in all aspects of mapping infectious diseases.

Contributors	p. v
Series Editors' Preface	p. vii
Guest editors' Preface	p. ix
Models for Vectors and Vector-Borne Diseases
Abstract	p. 1
A Brief History of Distribution Modelling	p. 2
Families of Distribution Models	p. 4
Predictor Variable Selection in Distribution Models	p. 12
What to Do With Sparse Datasets?	p. 14
Incorporating Spatial Information Into Models	p. 19
Model Selection and Multi-Model Inference	p. 21
Conclusion	p. 30
Acknowledgements	p. 33
References	p. 33
Global Environmental Data for Mapping Infectious Disease Distribution
Abstract	p. 38
Introduction	p. 38
The AVHRR Sensor	p. 39
Temporal Fourier Analysis (TFA)	p. 49
Future Global Environmental Data	p. 57
Conclusions	p. 70
Acknowledgements	p. 70
References	p. 71
Issues of Scale and Uncertainty in the Global Remote Sensing of Disease
Abstract	p. 80
Introduction	p. 80
Issues of Scale and Spatial Resolution	p. 86
Issues of Uncertainty	p. 96
Summary	p. 107
Acknowledgements	p. 108
References	p. 108
Determining Global Population Distribution: Methods, Applications and Data
Abstract	p. 120
Introduction	p. 120
Data	p. 124
Methodology	p. 133
Health Applications	p. 138
Discussion	p. 144
Data Dissemination	p. 148
Acknowledgements	p. 151
References	p. 151
Defining the Global Spatial Limits of Malaria Transmission in 2005
Abstract	p. 157
Introduction	p. 158
The Distribution of Malaria Risk from Travel Guidelines	p. 159
The Biological Limits of Transmission	p. 161
Distinguishing P. falciparum and P. vivax risk	p. 169
Regional Analysis	p. 169
Discussion	p. 173
Conclusions	p. 174
Acknowledgements	p. 175
References	p. 175
The Global Distribution of Yellow Fever and Dengue
Abstract	p. 182
Introduction	p. 182
The Pathogens	p. 183
Materials and Methods	p. 193
Results	p. 200
Discussion	p. 208
Conclusion	p. 209
Acknowledgements	p. 210
References	p. 211
Global Epidemiology, Ecology and Control of Soil-Transmitted Helminth Infections
Abstract	p. 221
Introduction	p. 222
Transmission Dynamics and the Environment	p. 224
Ecological Correlates	p. 227
Predicting Distributions	p. 231
Urbanization	p. 232
Global Control Strategies	p. 234
Control Applications of GIS/RS	p. 237
Global Distributions	p. 243
Predicted Numbers of Infections	p. 246
The Future	p. 250
Acknowledgements	p. 252
References	p. 252
Tick-borne Disease Systems: Mapping Geographic and Phylogenetic Space
Abstract	p. 263
Predicting Changing Risk of Infection on Evolutionary Time Scales	p. 264
The Evolutionary Time Scale for Vector-Borne Flaviviruses	p. 267
Correlates of Phylogenetic Patterns	p. 269
Testing the Role of Climate in the Evolution of Tick-borne Flaviviruses	p. 276
Acknowledgements	p. 285
References	p. 285
Global Transport Networks and Infectious Disease Spread
Abstract	p. 294
Introduction	p. 294
Global Transport Networks and Pandemics	p. 295
Global Transport Networks and Disease Vector Invasions	p. 306
Global Transport Networks and Vector-borne Diseases	p. 319
Conclusions	p. 332
Acknowledgements	p. 332
References	p. 333
Climate Change and Vector-Borne Diseases
Abstract	p. 346
The Mathematics and Biology of Changes in Vector-Borne Diseases	p. 346
Defining the Criteria for Claiming Climate Impacts on Vector-Borne Diseases	p. 351
Models for Climate Change Impacts on Vector-Borne Diseases	p. 353
Biological and Statistical Approaches to Vector-Borne Disease Futures	p. 355
Recent Changes in Vector-Borne Diseases: Has Climate Change Already had an Impact?	p. 366
Conclusions	p. 376
Acknowledgements	p. 377
References	p. 377
Index	p. 383
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