Iran's Developing Military Capabilities

In this new analysis and assessment, Anthony Cordesman draws on a clearer picture of Iran's developing military capabilities in 2005.

Anthony H. Cordesman is a military analyst for ABC News. A frequent commentator on National Public Radio and the BBC, he is the author of numerous books on security issues.

List of Tables

ix

List of Abbreviations

x

Introduction

xi

1 Iranian Conventional Forces

1

(18)

Iranian Military Expenditures

1

(2)

Iranian Arms Imports

3

(6)

Other Problems in Iran's Military Modernization

9

(10)

2 The Iranian Army

19

(26)

Iranian Tank Strength

20

(6)

Other Iranian Armor

26

(2)

Iranian Antitank Weapons

28

(1)

Iranian Artillery Strength

29

(4)

Iranian Surface-to-Surface Missiles

33

(7)

Iran's Scud B Missiles

33

(2)

Iran's Scud C Missiles

35

(2)

Iran's Shahab Missiles

37

(3)

Iranian Army Air Defense Systems

40

(1)

Iranian Army Aviation

41

(1)

Iranian Army Command, Control, Communications, Computers, and Intelligence

42

(1)

Other Aspects of Iranian Army Capability

42

(3)

3 The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (The Pasdaran)

45

(7)

The Quds (Qods) Force

48

(1)

The Basij and Other Paramilitary Forces

49

(3)

4 The Iranian Navy

52

(15)

Iranian Antiship Missiles and Missile Craft

55

(3)

Iranian Mine Warfare Capabilities

58

(1)

Iranian Amphibious Assets

59

(1)

Iranian Naval Air

60

(1)

Iran's Submarine Forces

60

(3)

The Role of the IRGC's Naval Branch

63

(1)

Iran's Naval Force Deployments

64

(1)

Iran's Overall Naval Capabilities

65

(2)

5 The Iranian Air Force

67

(9)

Iranian Air Strength

68

(3)

Iranian Land-based Air Defense

71

(2)

Iranian Air Force Readiness and Effectiveness

73

(3)

6 Iranian Capabilities to Carry Out Attacks in the Gulf

76

(7)

The Strait of Hormuz and Gulf Shipping Channels

76

(1)

The Gulf Coast and Key Facilities

77

(1)

Saudi Export Facilities

78

(2)

Increasing Global Dependence on Gulf Exports

80

(3)

7 Iranian Proliferation and Weapons of Mass Destruction

83

(64)

The Status of the Iranian Chemical Weapons Program

85

(7)

The Status of the Iranian Biological Weapons Program

92

(2)

The Status of the Iranian Nuclear Program

94

(1)

The Uncertain Character of Iran's Nuclear Facilities

95

(22)

Nuclear Developments in 2003 and 2004

117

(4)

Iran's Nuclear Weapons Development Options

121

(4)

Possible Dates for Iran's Acquisition of Nuclear Weapons

125

(13)

Iran's Nuclear War-fighting Doctrine and Capabilities

138

(9)

About the Author

147

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Iran's Developing Military Capabilities

Summary

Author Biography

Table of Contents

Supplemental Materials