Natural Disaster Hotspots : A Global Risk

This report presents a global view of major natural disaster risk hotspots - areas at relatively high risk of loss from one or more natural hazards. It summarizes the results of an interdisciplinary analysis of the location and characteristics of hotspots for six natural hazards - earthquakes, volcanoes, landslides, floods, drought, and cyclones. Data on these hazards are combined with state-of-the-art data on the subnational distribution of population and economic output and past disaster losses to identify areas at relatively high risk from one or more hazards.

Preface

vii

Acronyms and Abbreviations

xi

Executive Summary

1

(18)

Project Approach

1

(1)

Key Findings of the Global Analyses

1

(11)

Key Findings of the Case Studies

12

(1)

Conclusions and the Way Forward

12

(7)

Project Objectives

19

(4)

Project Approach

23

(12)

Risk Assessment Framework

23

(2)

Selection of Natural Hazards

25

(1)

Units of Analysis

26

(1)

Summary of Data Sources and Data Preparation

27

(6)

Global Hotspots Classification

33

(2)

Single-Hazard Exposure Analysis

35

(12)

Cyclones

35

(1)

Drought

35

(1)

Floods

35

(8)

Earthquakes

43

(1)

Volcanoes

44

(1)

Landslides

44

(1)

Single-Hazard Analysis of Exposure

44

(3)

Multihazard Exposure Analysis

47

(8)

Simple Multihazard Index

47

(5)

Reclassification of Multihazard Areas by Population Density

52

(3)

Multihazard Risk Assessment

55

(26)

Derivation of Vulnerability Coefficients

55

(5)

Single-Hazard Risk Assessment Results

60

(21)

Multihazard Risk Assessment Results

81

(12)

Case Studies

93

(20)

Scale Issues

94

(1)

Summary of Case Study Results

94

(16)

Linkages to and Lessons for Global Analysis

110

(3)

Conclusions and the Way Forward

113

(6)

The Costs of Disaster Risks

113

(2)

Implications for Decision Making

115

(2)

Information Development for Disaster Risk Management

117

(2)

Appendix A: Technical Appendix for Global Analysis

119

(11)

Derivation of Tropical Cyclone and GDP Surfaces

119

(1)

Reclassification of Hazardous Areas Weighted by Exposure

120

(7)

World Bank Country Income Classifications

127

(3)

References

130

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Natural Disaster Hotspots : A Global Risk Analysis

Summary

Table of Contents

Supplemental Materials