The Subjectivity of Scientists and the

Readers will benefit from this cogent and enlightening view of the history of subjectivity in science and the authors' alternative vision of how the Bayesian approach should be used to further the cause of science and learning well into the twenty-first century.

S. JAMES PRESS is Distinguished Professor in the Department of Statistics at the University of California at Riverside. He is also the author of Bayesian Statistics: Principles, Models, and Applications (Wiley) and Applied Multivariate Analysis: Including Bayesian and Frequentist Methods of Inference.

Preface

ix

Introduction

1

(16)

Selecting the Scientists

17

(6)

Some Well-Known Stories of Extreme Subjectivity

23

(26)

Introduction

23

(1)

Johannes Kepler

23

(3)

Gregor Mendel

26

(8)

Robert Millikan

34

(3)

Cyril Burt

37

(6)

Margaret Mead

43

(6)

Stories of Famous Scientists

49

(150)

Introduction

49

(2)

Aristotle

51

(9)

Galileo Galilei

60

(11)

William Harvey

71

(10)

Sir Isaac Newton

81

(14)

Antoine Lavoisier

95

(15)

Alexander von Humboldt

110

(11)

Michael Faraday

121

(7)

Charles Darwin

128

(15)

Louis Pasteur

143

(13)

Sigmund Freud

156

(10)

Marie Curie

166

(11)

Albert Einstein

177

(12)

Some Conjectures About the Scientists

189

(10)

Subjectivity in Science in Modern Times: The Bayesian Approach

199

(26)

Appendix: References by Field of Application for Bayesian Statistical Science

225

(6)

Bibliography

231

(18)

Subject Index

249

(18)

Name Index

267

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The Subjectivity of Scientists and the Bayesian Approach

Summary

Author Biography

Table of Contents

Supplemental Materials