Understanding Civil War Evidence and Analysis - Europe, Central Asia, and Other Regions

This publication is part of a two volume set which builds upon previous World Bank research into the causes and characteristics of civil war onset, particularly the model developed by Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler regarding the relationship between violent political conflict and economic development. This volume considers the variables identified in the Collier-Hoeffler model and applies them to a set of case studies from a range of non-African countries (covering Indonesia, the Lebanon, Northern Ireland, Russia, Colombia, Bosnia, Macedonia and the Caucasus) and then goes on to trace the process of conflict escalation in order to draw conclusions as to why civil war is likely to occur. The publication seeks to advance theoretical and empirical knowledge of civil war, in order to help further the objective of developing appropriate policy interventions. Another volume with case studies from African countries is available separately (ISBN 0821360477).