Voting at the Political Fault Line

In 1996, voters approved Proposition 198, which made California one of the first and only states to switch from a "closed" primary system to an open,"blanket," system where voters are allowed to vote for any candidate regardless of their party affiliation. This volume provides the first ever comprehensive study of the blanket primary's impact on electoral outcome.

List of Tables

vii

List of Figures

xi

PART ONE. INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND

California's Blanket Primary Experiment

3

(9)

Bruce E. Cain

Elisabeth R. Gerber

Crossover Voting Before the Blanket: Primaries versus Parties in California History

12

(24)

Brain J. Gaines

Wendy K. Tam Cho

Political Reform via the Initiative Process: What Voters Think about When They Change the Rules

36

(23)

Shaun Bowler

Todd Donovan

Context and Setting: The Mood of the California Electorate

59

(18)

Mark Baldassare

PART TWO. CROSSOVER VOTING

The Causes and Consequences of Crossover Voting in the 1998 California Elections

77

(30)

John Sides

Jonathan Cohen

Jack Citrin

Should I Stay or Should I Go? Sincere and Strategic Crossover Voting in California Assembly Races

107

(17)

R. Michael Alvarez

Jonathan Nagler

Peeking Under the Blanket: A Direct Look at Crossover Voting in the 1998 Primary

124

(19)

Anthony M. Salvanto

Martin P. Wattenberg

PART THREE. EFFECTS OF THE BLANKET PRIMARY

Crossing Over When It Counts: How the Motives of Voters in Blanket Primaries Are Revealed by Their Actions in General Elections

143

(28)

Thad Kousser

Candidates, Donors, and Voters in California's Blanket Primary Elections

171

(21)

Wendy K. Tam Cho

Brian J. Gaines

Strategic Voting and Candidate Policy Positions

192

(22)

Elisabeth R. Gerber

Openness Begets Opportunity: Minor Parties and California's Blanket Primary

214

(20)

Christian Collet

Thinner Ranks: Women as Candidates and California's Blanket Primary

234

(14)

Miki Caul

Katherine Tate

Targets of Opportunity: California's Blanket Primary and the Political Representation of Latinos

248

(22)

Gary M. Segura

Nathan D. Woods

Candidate Strategy, Voter Response, and Party Cohesion

270

(33)

John R. Petrocik

PART FOUR. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

The Blanket Primary in the Courts: The Precedent and Implications of California Democratic Party v. Jones Nathaniel Persily

303

(21)

Strategies and Rules: Lessons from the 2000 Presidential Primary

324

(20)

Bruce E. Cain

Megan Mullin

Conclusion

344

(11)

Bruce E. Cain

Elisabeth R. Gerber

List of Contributors

355

(6)

Index

361

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Voting at the Political Fault Line

Summary

Table of Contents

Supplemental Materials