Successful Stock Signals for Traders and Portfolio Managers, + Website Integrating Technical Analysis with Fundamentals to Improve Performance

Technical analysis is a vital tool for any trader, asset manager, or investor who wants to earn top returns. Successful Stock Signals for Traders and Portfolio Managers lets you combine technical analysis and fundamental analysis using existing technical signals to improve your investing performance. Author Tom Lloyd Sr. explains all the technical indicators you need to know, including moving averages, relative strength, support and resistance, sell and buy signals, candlesticks, point and figure charts, Fibonacci levels, Bollinger Bands, and both classic and new indicators. Merging these technical indicators with fundamental analysis will keep you in a portfolio of outperforming stocks, sharpen your fundamental buy discipline, and put your sell discipline on autopilot.

• Includes case studies applying technical analysis to current trending and hotly debated stocks like Facebook, LinkedIn, and Netflix
• Offers thorough and straightforward guidance on technical analysis for both professional and individual investors
• Covers the vital indicators in the public domain that investors need to know

Whether you're an individual investor who wants to beat the indexes, a trader looking for high-risk, high-return positions, or a portfolio manager who wants to take a fundamental approach, this an ideal guide to technical analysis and indicators.

Thomas K. Lloyd Sr. has spent twenty-five years as a consultant teaching professional portfolio managers how to use technical analysis. He holds an MBA in accounting and formerly taught an investing course at St. John's University using an integrated fundamental and technical approach. His articles have appeared in numerous media outlets, including Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine, SeekingAlpha.com, and MarketWatch.com.

Preface

Acknowledgments

About the Author

Chapter 1 Using Moving Averages and Relative Strength Performance to Beat the Index Relative Strength Index, Money Flow Index, Keltner Channels and Standard Deviation, with Apple Exhibits

Know the Playing Field

Apple Computer’s 200-Day Moving Average

20, 50 and 200-day Moving Averages

Relative Strength versus the S&P 500 Index

Keltner Channels

Mean Reversion

Breakout Signal

Apple’s Top at $644

Relative Strength Index, RSI

Money Flow Index, MFI

Standard Deviation (StdDev)

Relative Strength Performance, AAPL: $SPX

Supply and Demand

Summary

Chapter 2 On-Balance Volume, Accumulation/Distribution, Chaikin Money Flow, Pivot Point, Resistance and Support, Point & Figure Chart, with Apple and Google Exhibits

Price and Volume

Chaikin Money Flow, CMF

Moving Average Convergence/Divergence, MACD

Value Added Signals

Using Moving Averages

Pivot Point, Support and Resistance Points

Reverse Head and Shoulders Bottom

Apple Earnings Report

Case Study Questions on Apple

Planning for Apple’s Earnings Report

You Must Now Make a Decision on Apple before Earnings

Answer to the Case Study Questions

Summary of the Apple Case Study

Google Case Study

Summary of the Google Case Study

Chapter 3 Bottoms and Tops, Buying and Selling Cycles, Percentage Price Oscillator, PPO, with IBM and Hewlett-Packard Exhibits

Inverted Head & Shoulders Bottom

Double Top and “V” Bottom

Resistance

Cycles

Writing Puts and Calls

The “Cloud Stocks” for the Future

Long-term Investing

Buy and Hold Strategy Is Problematic

Case Study of Hewlett-Packard

Case Study Answer

Price Percentage Oscillator, PPO

My Answer to the Case Study

Summary

Chapter 4 Sell Signals Double Top, Failed Momentum, 10- and 20-day Trends, Broken Support, Aroon Oscillator, and Directional Movement with ADX, with Herbalife Exhibits

Technical Signals before a Blowup

Technical Signals after a Blowup

Double Top Warning

The 10- and 20-day Moving Average Signals

Aroon Oscillator and Directional Movement

Comments after the Herbalife Blowup

Case Study Challenge on Herbalife

Answers to the Case Study Questions

The Daily Chart Looks More Bearish

Summary

Chapter 5 Supply and Demand, Candlestick Signals, Point & Figure Chart, with Facebook Exhibits

Candlestick Sell Signal for Facebook

Failed Facebook vs. Lucky LinkedIn

Portfolio Managers Prefer Fundamental Analysis

The Facebook IPO Game

Facebook Selloff

Facebook Dives Because of Supply

Traders Look for Inefficient Markets

Facebook Secrets Took Price Down

Facebook:  The Rush to Sell On the First Day

Facebook Price In Search Of a Bottom

Why Is Price Going Down?

Seeing Demand/Supply on the Chart

Waiting for Buy Signals

Picture of a “Busted IPO”

Point & Figure Chart Shows Continued Selling

On-Balance Volume

Accumulation/ Distribution

Summary Picture of Supply and Demand

Facebook’s First Earnings Report

CMF Signal

MFI and MACD Signals

Gravestone Doji Candlestick Signal

Pivot Point Support/ Resistance Levels

Day trading Signals

Tremendous Supply Overhang

Summary

Chapter 6 Breakout Signals Ascending Triangle, Bullish Rectangle, Double Bottom, Falling Wedge, with Microsoft, Lululemon and Home Depot Exhibits

Double Bottom and Bullish Rectangle Breakout

What Is Wrong With Microsoft?

What Caused Microsoft to Breakout?

Falling Wedge Signals Double Bottom

Candlestick Hammer A Bullish Reversal Signal

Case Study: Home Depot Ascending Triangle

Summary

Chapter 7 Relative Strength Index, Stochastic, MACD, with Lululemon Exhibits

Case Study: LULU Before Earnings Are Reported

What Are You Ready To Do?

Answer to the Case Study

Now You Are Ready to Sell Call Options?

False Sell Signals in the 200-Day and Relative Strength

Summary

Chapter 8 Blow-Off Top, Trend Line Reversal, Channel Breakout, Fan Lines, with Green Mountain Coffee Exhibits

Why Study Stocks That Blowup?

How to Make Money When a Stock Crashes

Blow-Off Top and Trend Reversal

Sell Signals before the Fall

Selling Short after Einhorn’s Presentation

The Fatal Sell Signals

Bottom-Fishing GMCR, A Year Later

Looking for Buy Signals

Trading the Dead Cat Bounce

Summary

Chapter 9 Classic Top, Death Cross, Double Bottom, Bull Trap, Dead Cat Bounce, with Netflix Exhibits

Classic Top: End of a Long-term Uptrend

You Must Have a Sell Discipline

Death Cross, Dead Cat Bounce to a Bull Trap, Double Bottom

Buy Signals to Double Your Money on the Dead Cat Bounce

Dead Cat Bounce Up Fails

Broken “W” Bottom –Negative Surprise

Second Dead Cat Bounce and Second Failure

Summary

Chapter 10 Gaps, Divergences, Breakdowns and Breakouts, Oscillators, with Research In Motion Exhibits

Apple vs. RIMM, Stock Pairs Hedging

The Fall of RIMM from $148 to $35

Negative Divergence

Double Bottom, Dead Cat Bounce, Double Top, Capitulation

Oversold/Overbought Oscillator

Trading the Dead Cat Bounce

RIMM Breakout Buy Signals

RIMM’s Double Top Dive from $88 to $6

RIMM: All Signals Bearish for Three Years

Summary

Chapter 11 Relative Strength, Elliott Wave, Fibonacci Levels, with Priceline Exhibits

Guidelines for Success

Priceline Five-Year Performance vs. Apple

Case Study Challenge for Priceline

Fundamental Models

Priceline Short-term Daily Chart Signals

Priceline Long-term Weekly Chart

Answer For the Priceline Case Study

My Postmortem Article on MarketWatch.com

Proactive Before Earnings

Elliott Wave Targets a $440 Downside Test

Summary

Chapter 12 Evolution of Technical Signals from A to Z, with LinkedIn Exhibits

LinkedIn IPO Successful

LinkedIn Selloff after Doubling the First Day

Practice with the LinkedIn Signals

Do You Buy LinkedIn on Weakness?

LNKD Case Study Challenge

Wall Street Price Targets for LNKD

What the Quants Are Saying

What the Charts Are Saying About Demand and Supply

Your Decision Required Before LNKD Earnings Are Announced

Answers for LNKD Case Study

Summary

Chapter 13 Using the 200-Day Moving Average and Relative Strength to Rotate In and Out of Winners, with Starbucks Exhibits

Portfolio Managers Create Price Trends

What Do Portfolio Managers Look At?

What Do Traders Look At?

Monthly Chart for Portfolio Managers

Leading Sell Signals

What Will the Weekly Chart Do for the Portfolio Manager?

Positive Up Arrows on Exhibit 13.3

How Do You Trade SBUX Short-term?

Day Trading SBUX after Good Earnings

Summary

Chapter 14 Technical Signals for Your Buy and Sell Discipline, From Stochastics to the 200-day Moving Average, with Chipotle Mexican Grill Exhibits

Price Jumps on the Analyst Upgrade

Day Trading the News

Trading Systems

Trading Information

Day Trading Buy Signals

Sell Signals on the Short-Term Daily Chart

Buying at the Bottom

Change in Character from Bull to Bear

Selling at the Top

Hammer Candlestick Reversal Signal

Counting Down with Fibonacci and Elliott

Optimize Entry Level after Fundamental Buy Signal

Waiting for the Bottom

Summary

Chapter 15 Using Money Flow, Trend Lines, RSI, Stochastic, MACD and Buy/Sell Signals to Rotate In and Out of Losers, with JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs Exhibits

JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs vs. the Regulators

JP Morgan Buy/Sell Signals

Signals for Stocks in a Trading Range

Buying the Bottom for a Trade

Trader’s Buy Signals

Portfolio Manager’s Buy/Sell Signals

Goldman Sachs, Best of Breed

Goldman’s Latest Sell Signal

Is the GS Bottom at $86 or $43?

Summary

Chapter 16 Day Trading Using Candlesticks, Real Time Volume and Price, RSI, MFI, MACD, 20-50 Minute Moving Averages, with Salesforce Exhibits

What Is the World of Trading?

Trading Technology

How Has Technical Analysis Changed?

Trading Profitably

Case Study in Trading Salesforce.com

Answers to Monday’s Day Trading Example

Time For the Second Trade on Monday, What Will You Do?

Answer to the Second Trade on Monday

Third Trade for Monday

Answer to Monday’s Third Trade

Tuesday’s Day Trading Case Question for You to Answer

Answer to Tuesday’s Case Study Challenge

There Is Much More to Day Trading

Summary

Chapter 17 Investors Need Reliable Signals 50 and 200-Day Moving Averages, Money Flow, Relative Strength, Directional Movement, with Apple, Home Depot and Wal-Mart Exhibits

Finding Great Stocks Such As Apple

Dow Thirty Stocks

Home Depot, Anatomy of a Buy

Technical Analysis with Fundamentals

Wal-Mart, Anatomy of a Buy on Weakness

Summary

Chapter 18 Traders Need Stocks to Trade Using Candlesticks, Volume, Ten Minute Chart, Stochastic, MACD, RSI, with Gamestop, Green Mountain Coffee and JC Penney Exhibits

Traders Are Early Birds

Traders Are Opportunistic

Traders Have a List of Longs and Shorts

Gamestop on the Long List but It’s a Trading Short

Trading the Positive Surprise in Green Mountain Coffee

Why No Short Squeeze in GMCR?

Preparing a Trader’s Short List

Summary

Chapter 19 Winning in the Stock Market Using Technical Analysis, S&P 500 Index, SPY, Reading the Market with SPY Exhibits

What Is the Current Status of the Market?

Elliott Waves

Using the Stock Trader’s Almanac

Identifying Tops in the Market

Is This a Market Top?

Percentage Price Oscillator’s (PP0) Buy/Sell Signals

Moving Average Convergence Divergence’s (MACD) Buy/Sell Signals

Know Sure Thing (KST) Buy/Sell Signals

Keltner Channels, (KELT) Buy/Sell Signals

Closer View of the Monthly Chart

Switching to the Weekly Chart Exhibit 19.3

The Daily Chart Everyone Is Looking At

The Day Trader Is Trying to Dodge the Fiscal Cliff News

Day Trading 5-Minute Chart, Exhibit 19.5

Trader’s Buy Signals, Blue Line on Exhibit 19.5

Trader’s Sell Signals, Red Line on Exhibit 19.5

Summary

About the Companion Website

Index

The New copy of this book will include any supplemental materials advertised. Please check the title of the book to determine if it should include any access cards, study guides, lab manuals, CDs, etc.

The Used, Rental and eBook copies of this book are not guaranteed to include any supplemental materials. Typically, only the book itself is included. This is true even if the title states it includes any access cards, study guides, lab manuals, CDs, etc.